How To Improve Your Soccer Bets Using The Superiority Strategy
Izvor: KiWi
How To Improve Your Soccer Bets Using The Superiority Strategy
How To Improve Your Soccer Bets is a number of articles that describe some well used and well known statistical practices that can help the football punter make more informed bets. Each one of the strategies has its own advantages and disadvantages and with them in isolation will improve your odds of winning. However, together they'll prove invaluable in your fight with the bookies. In each article we'll explain in detail how a particular method works giving you enough information for you to go ahead and create your own personal predictions. We will also give information to you as to where you can already find sites that make use of this method in containing their regular estimates.
The statistical practices described in this group of articles can help you to arrive at an improved decision about the match, or matches, that you're betting on.
In this article I will be explaining the popular Superiority method. The Superiority approach is based on goal difference (efficiency) for both groups in a fixture in the last set number of games.
Listed here are the basic rules
Get target difference for each team. This might be either;
a) All home games only for the home team and all away games only for the away team during the last N games.
Or
b) All games for every single group during the last N games.
Next we need to count each occurrence of a certain goal difference. We need to try this for both house side and the away side. We create a table which holds the matters and in our case we have chosen to have thirteen lines in our table that represent the following target differences:
Catalog PURPOSE DIFF
1.....>-5
2.....-5
3.....-4
4.....-3
5.....-2
6.....-1
7.....0
8.....1
9.....2
10....3
11....4
12....5
13....>5
Whenever that goal difference is withstood so for the N matches we shall put someone to the information of every list. Therefore lets have a look at a good example this can be a bit confusing.
System v West Pig
Collection 2 -1 0 0 3 -2 1 1 1 5 1 0 0 -2
WEST HAM 0 0 -2 -3 -1 3 1 -1 -1 2 1 3 0 1
The above shows the goal differences for the last fourteen fits for Arsenal and West Ham, now allows put these to our goal difference table:
INDEX PURPOSE DIFF Collection WEST HAM
1.....>-5....0.....0
2.....-5.....0.....0
3.....-4.....0.....0
4.....-3.....0.....1
5.....-2.....2.....1
6.....-1.....1.....3
7.....0.....4.....3
8.....1.....4.....3
9.....2.....1.....1
10....3.....1.....2
11....4.....0.....0
12....5.....1.....0
13....>5....0.....0
Today each home team array count is added to the contrary array count for the away side. So, the home teams array index 1-3 is added to the away teams array index 1, the home teams array index 1-2 is added for the away teams array index 2, and so forth. In our example this provides us;
INDEX GOAL DIFF MIXED
1.....>-5.....0
2.....-5......0
3.....-4......0
4.....-3......2
5.....-2......3
6.....-1......4
7.....0......7
8.....1......7
9.....2......2
10....3......2
11....4......0
12....5......1
13....>5.....0
The forecast can now be established. If we assume that a pull is represented by array index 7 then array indexes 1 to 6 represent an absent win, and array indexes 8 to 13 represent a house win. So, the house win counts are totalled and so are the absent win counts. This grand PureVolume™ | We're Listening To You site has specific tasteful warnings for when to ponder it. Within our example this gives us;
AWAY WIN9
DRAW7
HOUSE WIN12
The total number of counts = 2-8
Thus,
Away win chance = 32-inches
Pull risk = 2500-3000
House win possibility = 43%.
Now its your turn
Of course you may choose to use various values to those found above and by playing you may develop better values to use.
If you have the required skills you could disappear and develop your own spreadsheet of data as well as produce a bit of computer software to implement the Superiority solution to your data and ingest benefits and features. Or, if youre lazy like me, you could get some free software that already does this for you. If this last option is for you then visit 1X2Monster where you can obtain a copy of the Footyforecast 2.0 software which uses all of the statistical techniques described in this series of articles. You'll even be in a position to download FREE weekly database updates for your application, how cool is the fact that?
Here is a list of each of the articles in this line
How To Enhance Your Basketball Bets Utilizing The Rateform Technique
How To Boost Your Football Bets Utilizing The Footyforecast Method
How To Improve Your Basketball Bets Using The Win Draw Damage Technique
How To Enhance Your Football Bets Using The Easy Collection Technique
How To Enhance Your Baseball Bets Utilising The Rating Forecast Process
How To Boost Your Soccer Bets Using The Efficiency Strategy.
